BTC EMA Pullback Trend Follower

This is a 1-hour BTC trend-following strategy that buys pullbacks to the 20 EMA when the trend is up, using a stop order above the pullback candle, an ATR-based initial stop, and a trailing stop on the remaining half.

Market
Crypto
Style
Trend following
Timeframe
Day 15m-1h (1h)
Level
Advanced
Tools
EMA, ATR
Saved
1 time
Run
0 times

Tested

3 months tested, 37% win rate, average 0.10R, max drawdown 4.0%. BTC, 1h candles. Past results do not guarantee future results.

The rules

Setup

Lane (first to light up)crypto
Instrument(s)BTC-USD
Primary timeframe1 hour
Fast EMA length20
Slow EMA length50
Trend rule (exact)20 EMA above 50 EMA and price closes above 20 EMA

Trigger

Pullback definitionprice pulls back and touches the 20 EMA

Entry

Entry triggerstop order 1 tick above the high of the pullback candle
Entry buffer (ticks/pips)1 tick
Order typestop order

Stop

Initial stop1.5 times ATR 14 below entry
ATR length (if ATR stop)14
ATR multiple1.5

Exit

Trailing stop methodtrail under each higher swing low after taking half off
Profit target (optional)2R for half position

Risk

Risk per trade0.5%
Max concurrent positions2
Daily loss limit / kill switch2%

Strengths

  • Clear trend filter using EMA alignment and price closes, which avoids counter-trend entries.
  • Defined entry trigger and initial stop based on ATR, giving a consistent risk per trade.
  • Trailing the second half under swing lows lets winners run while locking in some profit at 2R.

Risks

  • Pullbacks can fail and price can reverse sharply, hitting the 1.5 ATR stop before any profit.
  • In choppy or ranging markets, the EMA trend filter may give false signals, causing repeated small losses.
  • Trailing under swing lows can give back a large portion of unrealized gains if swings are wide.

Source

A JustWavey pick: a well known public strategy, written out in plain words by the JustWavey team.

Version history

VersionSavedChanged boxes
12026-10-17First version

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